Euro area markets scale back bets on rate hikes before?ECB meeting

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/17/25 02:56 AM EST

By Stefano Rebaudo

Dec 17 (Reuters) - Euro zone yields fell and investors pared back bets on future European Central Bank rate hikes on Wednesday as the impact of recent hawkish remarks by board member Isabel Schnabel faded ahead of Thursday's policy meeting.

The Bank of England will also be in focus on Thursday, while the Bank of Japan will announce its decisions on Friday.

Yields on German 2-year Schatz fell 1.5 bps to 2.123%, the lowest level since December 8.

Germany's 10-year yields, the euro area's benchmark, were down 1.5 basis points (bps) at 2.83%. They hit 2.894% last week, their highest level since mid-March. Money markets priced in around a 20% probability of a tightening move by December 2026 and a 35% chance by March 2027 from more than 50% last week. The ECB depo rate is currently at 2%.

German 30-year yields fell 1.5 bps to 3.46%, after hitting 3.498% last week, their highest level since July 2011, as long-dated debt came under pressure on expectations of heavier bond supply. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries yields rose 0.5 bps to 4.15% in early London trading after falling 3.5 bps the day before after data showed an unexpected increase in the unemployment rate last month.

Italy's 10-year government bond yields were down 2.5 bps at 3.48%, with the gap versus Bunds at 65 bps, after hitting a fresh 16-year low at 64.50 bps. (Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; editing by Andrew Heavens)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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