Euro zone yields edge down before central bank decisions, US data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/15/25 02:34 AM EST

By Stefano Rebaudo

Dec 15 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields slipped on Monday as investors braced for a week packed with central bank policy meetings and Tuesday's U.S. jobs data that may shape the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.

The European Central Bank and the Bank of England will hold their meetings on Thursday while the Bank of Japan will announce its decision on Friday.

Germany's 10-year yield, the euro area benchmark, was down 1.5 basis points (bps) at 2.85%. It hit 2.894% last week, the highest level since mid-March.

Money markets have priced out an ECB rate cut in 2026, while assigning around a 25% probability to a tightening move by December 2026 and an about 50% chance by March 2027. The ECB deposit rate is currently at 2%.

German 30-year yields were down 2.5 bps to 3.46%. They reached 3.498% on Friday, the highest level since July 2011, as long-dated debt came under pressure on expectations for heavier bond supply.

Demand for ultra-long debt is set to shrink as Dutch pension funds, a key buyer, will no longer need to hold large amounts of these assets after an industry reform. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields fell 3 bps to 4.17% in early London trade after rising 5.5 bps on Friday as investors assessed commentary from a flurry of Fed speakers and a positive outlook on the economy.

The yield on the German 2-year Schatz was flat at 2.16%.

Italy's 10-year yields fell 2 bps to 3.54%.

(Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; editing by Kirsten Donovan)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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