Japan short-term yields hit 17-year high on BOJ rate-hike bets

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/09/25 08:09 PM EST

By Rocky Swift

TOKYO, Dec 10 (Reuters) - Short-term Japanese government bond (JGB) yields hit a 17-year high on Wednesday on increasing certainty that the central bank would resume interest rate hikes at its meeting next week.

The two-year JGB yield rose 0.5 basis point (bp) to 1.07%, the highest since July 2007. The five-year yield rose 0.5 bp to 1.445%.

Shorter-term securities, those especially sensitive to central bank policy expectations, have slid rapidly on recent hints by the Bank of Japan that it was preparing to raise its key policy rate by a quarter percentage point to 0.75% to tame inflation and declines in the yen.

Markets are now focused on the timing and extent of future hikes as the central bank targets its so-called terminal rate.

The 30-year JGB yield rose 1 bp to 3.39%. The 10-year yield was flat at 1.96%.

Long-dated JGBs have been under pressure following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's announcement of massive stimulus, which would be funded largely by new debt.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda on Tuesday noted the "rapid" rise in JGB yields and said the bank remained able to ramp up bond buying in exceptional circumstances.

Japanese megabank Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) has been cautiously rebuilding its JGB positions since the benchmark 10-year yield rose above 1.65%, MUFG executive Hiroyuki Seki told Reuters.

If the yield exceeds 2%, the bank plans to accelerate purchases, Seki said.

(Reporting by Rocky Swift; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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