November US Median Inflation Expectations Unchanged for Both Short Term and Medium Term, According to NY Fed Survey

11:15 AM EST, 12/08/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Consumer expectations for one-year US inflation growth remained at a 3.2% gain in November after falling to that point in October, according to a survey released by the New York Federal Reserve Bank on Monday.

The median inflation expectations remained at a 3.0% gain for the three-year period and five-year periods.

The median inflation uncertainty remained at 3.3% for both the one-year and three-year horizons.

Median home price change expectations remained at 3.0% while home price uncertainty fell to a 3.9% increase from a 4.0% increase in the previous month.

The median one-year expectations for commodity prices growth rose for gas, food, medical care, college education and rent, but fell for gold.

Median earnings growth expectations remained at 2.6%, while the median probability of job loss fell to 13.8% from 14% and the chance of leaving voluntarily to 17.7% from 18.8%.

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