Fed Policy Easing Expectations Help Push Gains in US Equity Indexes This Week

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 04:49 PM EST

04:49 PM EST, 12/05/2025 (MT Newswires) -- US equity indexes rose this week as the odds of a third consecutive interest rate cut remained elevated amid supportive macroeconomic data and as leadership returned to high-growth sectors.

* The S&P 500 closed at 6,870.40 on Friday versus 6,827.70 a week ago. The Nasdaq Composite stood at 23,578.13 compared with 23,288.16 a week earlier. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended at 47,954.99, versus 47,552.55 at the end of last week.

* Technology and communication services were the top two sectors this week, a return of leadership to high-growth areas. Over the past month, the leading three peer groups were basic materials, communication services, and healthcare.

* The annual growth in the core price consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's primary gauge of underlying inflation trends, slowed in September. The month-over-month rate remained unchanged, as expected.

* Employment in the US private sector unexpectedly fell in November, ADP, a payroll processing firm, said. Jobs fell by 32,000, marking the largest decline since March 2023, as per a Stifel note, versus consensus for a 10,000 increase in a Bloomberg-compiled survey.

* The Bureau of Labor Statistics won't publish October employment data that was delayed due to the federal government shutdown. The November jobs report is scheduled for release about a week after the Fed's policy decision on Dec. 10.

* Initial jobless claims fell to 191,000, the lowest since September 2022, in the week ended Nov. 29, below expectations in a Bloomberg-compiled survey. The latest read exceeded the lowest prints since the 1960s by only about 10,000, according to a Jefferies note. "This week's reference week includes Thanksgiving, which is notorious for making seasonal adjustment difficult."

* The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points on Dec. 10 stood at 87% late on Friday, after hitting 90% earlier in the week, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The likelihood was 62% a month ago.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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