WTI heads for weekly gains as Fed hopes boost market and Venezuela tensions loom

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/04/25 08:24 PM EST

By Colleen Howe and Jeslyn Lerh

BEIJING/SINGAPORE, Dec 5 (Reuters) - WTI oil prices were poised for a weekly gain on Friday, supported by an expected Federal Reserve interest rate cut, escalating U.S.-Venezuela tensions and stalled peace talks in Moscow, though both oil benchmarks dipped from the previous day.

Brent crude fell 14 cents, or 0.2%, to $63.12 per barrel by 0400 GMT. The contract was largely stable on the week.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dipped 18 cents, or 0.3%, to $59.49 a barrel, although logging a weekly gain of about 1.6% and marking a second straight week of increase.

"The market weighs the impact of lower CPC exports and some positive news on the demand side, with a possible Fed rate cut in talk," said Anh Pham, a senior research specialist at LSEG, referring to lower Kazakhstan oil shipments after a Ukrainian drone attack on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium's Black Sea loading facility.

Both contracts settled up around 1% in the previous trading session.

Of economists surveyed in a November 28-December 4 Reuters poll, 82% of them expected a 25-basis-point interest rate reduction at next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting. A rate cut would stimulate economic growth and demand for oil.

"Looking ahead, supply factors remain in focus. A peace deal with Russia would bring more barrels to the market and likely push prices down," said Pham.

"On the other hand, any geopolitical escalation will drive prices higher. OPEC+ has agreed to keep production steady until early next year, so it adds some support for prices too," he said.

Markets also continued to brace for a potential U.S. military incursion into Venezuela after President Donald Trump said late last week that the U.S. would start taking action to stop Venezuelan drug traffickers on land "very soon".

Rystad Energy said in a note that such a move could put at risk Venezuela's 1.1 million barrels per day of crude oil production, which it supplies mostly to China.

Prices were also boosted this week by the failure of U.S. talks in Moscow to achieve any significant breakthroughs over the war in Ukraine, which could have included a deal to let Russian oil back into the market.

Those factors kept prices supported despite a growing surplus.

Saudi Arabia had cut its January Arab Light crude selling prices to Asia to the lowest level in five years amid oversupply, according to a document reviewed by Reuters on Thursday.? ?

(Reporting by Colleen Howe in Beijing and Jeslyn Lerh in Singapore; Editing by Tom Hogue)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

fir_news_article