Benchmark JGB yields hit 18-year high as BOJ rate-hike bets gather steam

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/04/25 08:00 PM EST

By Rocky Swift

TOKYO, Dec 5 (Reuters) - Benchmark Japanese government bonds (JGBs) slid further on Friday, pushing yields to an 18-year high, as expectations firmed for rate hikes by the Bank of Japan.

The 10-year JGB yield edged up 0.5 basis point to 1.94%, its highest level since July 2007. It is on track for a 13.5 bp gain this week, marking the steepest five-day climb since March. Yields move inversely to bond prices.

Japan's long-dated bonds have fallen sharply following the announcement of a massive spending plan by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to be funded largely by new borrowing. Shorter-term notes, those most sensitive to central bank policy, are also down on signals the BOJ is ready to raise rates.

"We're seeing JGB yields push higher amid expectations of the BOJ tightening," Skye Masters, head of markets research at National Australia Bank, said in a podcast.

But a strong auction of 30-year JGBs on Thursday is evidence that the run-up in yields is attracting buyers back into the market, Masters added.

"Investors aren't necessarily shying away from the move higher in yield. They're actually using that as a buying opportunity," she said.

Short-term JGB yields are hovering near 17-year peaks, while super-long-term yields have repeatedly punched through record highs.

The BOJ is likely to raise interest rates at its meeting this month with the government expected to tolerate such a decision, Reuters reported on Thursday.

Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reiterated on Friday that officials were watching market movements closely and would pursue appropriate debt management policies.

(Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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