Gold Trading Lower Ahead of Inflation Data as Treasury Yields Rise

BY MT Newswires | TREASURY | 12/04/25 09:29 AM EST

09:29 AM EST, 12/04/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Gold traded lower early on Thursday as treasury yields rose ahead of key U.S. inflation data coming Friday and next week's interest-rate decision from the Federal Reserve.

Gold for February delivery was last seen down US$9.00 to US$4,223.50 per ounce.

The price of the metal has climbed 6.9% over the past month, supported by expectations the Federal Reserve's policy committee will end its two-day meeting on Dec. 10 with a 25 basis point cut to U.S. interest rates.

The final data point for the committee's decision will come tomorrow, with the release of the September Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure. The report, which was delayed by the U.S. government shutdown, is expected to show inflation was steady at a 2.9% pace in the month, unchanged from August, according to Marketwatch.

"Through year-end, gold prices should remain buoyant, and we remain of the view that new and growing investor allocations are strategic and sticky, as are the central bank purchases that we believe will continue into next year. Prices overall should remain supported by economic data, ongoing uncertainty, and the need to diversify," Christopher Louney, a commodities strategist at RBC Capital Markets, wrote.

The dollar was steady early, with the ICE dollar index last seen up 0.02 points to 98.88. Treasury yields rose, with the U.S. two-year note last seen paying 3.523%, up 2.5 basis points, while the yield on the 10-year note was up 2.1 points to 4.088%

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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