US Equity Investors to Focus on Powell's Speech, Fed's Preferred Inflation Report This Week

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 12/01/25 06:30 AM EST

06:30 AM EST, 12/01/2025 (MT Newswires) -- US equity investors will focus on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech this week and the central bank's preferred inflation data while keeping an eye on the read for Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales.

* On Tuesday, investors will parse Powell's comments in relation to monetary policy and economic growth. Currently, the probability of a 25-basis-point December rate cut is almost 88%, up from 63% a month ago, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

* President Donald Trump said Sunday has decided who will lead the Federal Reserve after incumbent Powell steps down in May, according to media reports. "I know who I am going to pick, yeah," Trump told reporters on Air Force One. "We'll be announcing it."

* White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, Trump's chief economic adviser, will likely succeed Powell, Bloomberg reported late last week, citing sources. The president has in the past called for lower interest rates in the US to help manage the country's burgeoning debt.

* September's personal consumption expenditures, or PCE, report, which the Fed watches for inflation and was delayed because of the federal government shutdown, is keenly awaited this week. Michigan consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, ISM manufacturing and services PMIs, international trade, and industrial production are also on the tap.

* Investors will also look out for data from Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales to assess the health of the consumer.

* Quarterly earnings due this week include CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) , Marvell Technology (MRVL) , Salesforce (CRM) , Snowflake (SNOW), Dollar Tree (DLTR) , Kroger (KR) , Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) , and Ulta Beauty (ULTA) .

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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