PRECIOUS-Gold poised for fourth monthly gain on Fed rate cut optimism

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/28/25 05:09 AM EST

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CME trading halt affects FX, commodities, equities futures

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Investors see 85% chance of a rate cut in December

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US dollar heads for worst week since late July

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All metals headed for weekly and monthly gains

(Rewrites for EMEA morning session)

By Noel John

Nov 28 (Reuters) - Gold pared gains on Friday as investors booked profits after prices hit a two-week high earlier in the session, but remained on track for a fourth straight monthly rise on optimism over a possible Federal Reserve rate cut in December.

Meanwhile, an outage at CME Group (CME) stopped trade on its currency platform and in futures spanning foreign exchange, commodities, Treasuries and stocks. U.S. gold futures for December delivery were at $4,221.30 per ounce ahead of the outage.

Spot gold rose 0.1% to $4,162.59 per ounce by 0937 GMT, after hitting its highest since November 14 earlier in the session, and was set for a 2.4% weekly gain. Bullion is set to register a 3.9% rise this month.

"With such incredible gains (in gold), the temptation to take profit is overwhelming, but the underlying sentiment remains very positive," said independent analyst Ross Norman.

"There are concerns about global debt, tariffs and sanctions" while ongoing central bank buying has also been driving gold's rally this year, he said.

Gold, a non-yielding asset, tends to do well in low-interest rate environments. Traders are now pricing in an 85% chance of a rate cut in December, up from 50% a week earlier.

Comments from heavyweights like Fed Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams, as well as the release of soft U.S. economic data after the government shutdown, have reinforced expectations that the central bank will trim interest rates next month.

The U.S. dollar was headed for its worst week since late July. A weaker greenback makes dollar-priced gold more attractive for buyers using other currencies.

Elsewhere, UBS raised its silver price forecast by $5-$8/oz and said it expects the metal to trade at $60/oz in 2026.

Spot silver rose 0.4% to $53.65 per ounce and platinum gained 2.2% to $1,643.60, with silver up 7.2% and platinum 8.8% for the week, respectively. Palladium gained 1% to $1,452.27 and was set for a 5.8% weekly gain. (Reporting by Noel John and Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; editing by Philippa Fletcher)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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