PRECIOUS-Gold set for fourth monthly gain as markets wager on US rate cut

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/27/25 11:32 PM EST

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87% chance of a rate cut in December - CME FedWatch Tool

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US dollar heads for worst week since late July

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All metals headed for weekly and monthly gains

(Updates with comments for Asia session morning trade)

By Ishaan Arora

Nov 28 (Reuters) - Gold prices climbed on Friday and were poised for a fourth straight monthly rise, bolstered by investor optimism that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in December.

Spot gold rose 0.8% to $4,189.61 per ounce by 0303 GMT, hitting its highest since November 14, and was set for a 3% weekly gain. Bullion is set to register a 3.9% rise this month.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery were up 0.5% at $4,221.30 per ounce.

"Trading conditions are looking a bit thin liquidity-wise, which is exacerbating some of the market moves. A lot of the moves higher in gold are due to pre-positioning in anticipation of a lower interest rate environment," said KCM Trade Chief Market Analyst Tim Waterer.

U.S. rate futures are pricing in an 87% chance of a rate cut in December, compared with 85% a day prior and 50% a week before, according to the CME's FedWatch tool.

Comments from San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly and Fed Governor Christopher Waller this week have bolstered expectations for a rate cut next month.

Like U.S. President Donald Trump, Kevin Hassett, who has emerged as a front runner to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, has also said interest rates should be lower.

Their stance, however, contrasted with several regional Fed presidents advocating a pause until inflation shows a more convincing move towards the U.S. central bank's 2% target.

Non-yielding gold tends to perform well in low-interest-rate environments.

The U.S. dollar was headed for its worst week since late July. A weaker greenback makes dollar-priced gold more attractive for buyers using other currencies.

Investors say that Hassett at the Fed's helm could pressure the dollar.

Elsewhere, spot silver rose 1.4% to $54.18 per ounce and platinum gained 1.7% to $1,634.82, with both up 7.4% for the week. Palladium lost 0.6% to $1,428.62 but was set for a 4% weekly gain. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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