Update: Gold Trades Higher on Rising Expectations for a Cut to U.S. Interest Rates

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 11/26/25 02:04 PM EST

02:04 PM EST, 11/26/2025 (MT Newswires) -- (Updates prices.)

Gold traded higher midafternoon on Wednesday, buoyed by rising expectations the Federal Reserve will again cut interest rates next month.

Gold for February delivery was last seen up US$26.00 to US$4,203.30 per ounce, only the second time the metal has traded above US$4,200 since closing at a record US$4,359.40 on Oct.20.

The rise comes as weak U.S. economic data released Tuesday raised expectations the Federal Reserve's policy committee will again cut interest rates at the Dec.10 end to its two-day policy meeting. The reports showed retail sales growth slowed to 0.2% in September, under expectations for a 0.3% rise, while wholesale price inflation in that month was steady at a 2.7% annualized rate.

Following the data, the CME FedWatch Tool now sees a 82.9% probability for a 25 basis point cut to interest rates next month, up from 30.1% a week earlier.

The dollar edged down, with the ICE dollar index last seen down 0.4 points to 99.62. Treasury yields also rose, with the U.S. two-year note last seen paying 3.493%, up 2.8 basis points, while the yield on the 10-year note was up 0.7 points to 4.007%.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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