PRECIOUS-Gold holds steady as US data reinforces Fed rate cut bets

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/25/25 09:54 AM EST

*

US Retail Sales data falls below expectations in September

*

Fed's Stephen Miran calls for further rate cutsTraders see 85% chance of US interest rate cut next month

(Rewrites for US morning trading)

By Pablo Sinha

Nov 25 (Reuters) -

Gold prices held largely steady on Tuesday, as softer-than-expected U.S. retail sales data reinforced traders' expectations that the Federal Reserve will trim interest rates in December. Spot gold edged down 0.2% to $4,130.85 per ounce by 09:36 a.m. ET (1436 GMT). Prices earlier in the day hit their highest level since November 14, and rose nearly 2% on Monday after some Fed policymakers signalled support for a third interest rate cut this year. U.S. gold futures for December delivery rose 0.8% to $4,127.40 per ounce.

"There's revived hope for a December rate cut based on recent dovish Fed speak, and this (data) doesn't seem to be changing that," said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals.

Retail sales increased less than expected in September, taking a breather following a recent stretch of strong gains.

Meanwhile, data showed that for the 12 months through September, the U.S. producer price index increased 2.7% after advancing by the same margin in August. The report was delayed by the 43-day shutdown of the government. Markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a December rate cut - compared to 30% last week - and a 64% probability of a cut in January, CME data showed. Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said on Tuesday that a deteriorating job market calls for further rate cuts, echoing dovish remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Monday.

Non-yielding gold tends to do well in low-interest-rate environments, and during geopolitical and economic instability.

More broadly, "the underlying conditions of ongoing economic uncertainty, geopolitical turbulence and dovish Fed expectations continue to support gold prices (in the near term)," ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista said. Elsewhere, spot silver rose 0.1% to $51.41 per ounce, platinum rose 0.3% to $1,548.80 and palladium lost 0.2% to $1,392.79. (Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; additional reporting by Sherin Elizabeth Varghese, Editing by Louise Heavens)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

fir_news_article