CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar sticks to narrow range ahead of domestic GDP data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/24/25 02:56 PM EST

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Loonie trades in a range of 1.4092 to 1.4118

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Price of U.S. oil settles 1.3% higher

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Flash estimate shows factory sales down 1.1% in October

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Bond yields ease across the curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Nov 24 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar steadied against its U.S. counterpart on Monday, with the currency unable to take advantage of improved risk appetite as investors awaited domestic GDP data at the end of the week.

The loonie was trading nearly unchanged at 1.4105 per U.S. dollar, or 70.90 U.S. cents, after moving in a narrow range of 1.4092 to 1.4118. Earlier this month, the currency touched a seven-month low at 1.4140.

"It's a lack of positive news for Canada at this point," said Amo Sahota, director at Klarity FX in San Francisco. "We've got Canadian GDP coming out on Friday. I don't think anyone is expecting a big beat there."

Analysts forecast that Canada's economy grew at an annualized rate of 0.5% in the third quarter, which would be an outcome that narrowly avoids a second-straight quarterly contraction. A preliminary estimate on Monday showed that Canadian factory sales fell 1.1% in October from September, largely driven by lower sales in the chemical and wood product subsectors. Canada's economy has been held back this year by trade uncertainty. The nation will resume trade discussions with the United States "when it's appropriate," Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Sunday.

Moves in the loonie have become "asymmetric," Sahota said, adding that the currency "doesn't take its opportunities on days when high-beta FX should do a little better."

High-beta currencies tend to be sensitive to shifts in investor sentiment.

Wall Street rallied and the price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, settled 1.3% higher at $58.84 a barrel as growing bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut in December fueled risk-taking.

Canadian government bond yields moved lower across the curve, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year was down 2.6 basis points at 3.177%. (Reporting by Fergal Smith in Toronto; Editing by Matthew Lewis)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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