PRECIOUS-Gold falls as strong US jobs data dims rate-cut prospects

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/20/25 09:15 PM EST
          Nov 21 (Reuters) - Gold prices slipped on Friday and
were on track for a weekly fall, as a stronger-than-expected
U.S. jobs report reinforced expectations that the Federal
Reserve will refrain from cutting rates at its December meeting.

    FUNDAMENTALS
    * Spot gold was down 0.2% at $4,062.79 per ounce, as
of 0157 GMT. Bullion has lost 0.3% so far this week. U.S. gold
futures for December delivery edged 0.2% higher to
$4,068.10 per ounce.
    * The closely watched U.S. Labor Department report, delayed
by the federal government shutdown, showed that September
nonfarm payrolls increased by 119,000, more than double the
estimated increase of 50,000.
    * Traders now see nearly a 39% chance for a Fed rate cut
next month, down from 60% earlier this month.
    * Gold, a non-yielding asset, tends to do well in
low-interest-rate environments.
    * The dollar was on track on Friday for its strongest
weekly performance in more than a month, as investors wagered
the Fed is unlikely to cut rates next month. A stronger dollar
makes greenback-priced gold more expensive for holders of other
currencies.
    * Minutes from the Fed's October meeting released on
Wednesday showed it cut interest rates even as policymakers
cautioned that doing so could risk entrenched inflation and a
loss of public trust in the U.S. central bank.
    * Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee repeated on Thursday
he is "uneasy" about frontloading interest-rate cuts,
particularly with progress on inflation towards the Fed's 2%
goal looking to have stalled and starting to go the wrong way.
    * Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack warned on Thursday
that cutting rates further right now carries a wide range of
risks for the economy. Fed Governor Lisa Cook sees a risk of
outsized asset price declines.
    * SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed
exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.41% to 1,039.43
tons in the previous session from 1,043.72 tons on Wednesday.
    * Elsewhere, spot silver slipped 0.4% to $50.39 per
ounce, platinum climbed 0.4% to $1,517.95, and palladium
 added 0.3% to $1,381.22.

 DATA/EVENTS (GMT)
  0700  UK   Retail Sales MM, YY   Oct
  0700  UK   Retail Sales Ex-Fuel MM   Oct
  0745  France   Business Climate Mfg, Overall   Nov
  0815  France   HCOB Mfg, Svcs, Comp Flash PMIs   Nov
  0830  Germany   HCOB Mfg, Svcs, Comp Flash PMIs   Nov
  0900  EU   HCOB Mfg, Svcs, Comp Flash PMIs   Nov
  0930  UK   Flash Mfg, Svcs, Comp PMIs   Nov
  1445  US   S&P Global Mfg, Svcs, Comp PMIs Flash   Nov
  1500  US   U Mich Sentiment Final   Nov


 (Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry
Jacob-Phillips)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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