CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar hits a near two-week low on uncertain Fed outlook

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/20/25 01:40 PM EST

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Canadian dollar falls 0.3% against the greenback

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Touches its weakest since November 7 at 1.4107

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Price of oil decreases 0.1%

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10-year yield pulls back from 2-1/2-month high

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Nov 20 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened to a near two-week low against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday after U.S. jobs data failed to clear up an uncertain outlook for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, contributing to the recent state of investor risk aversion.

The loonie was trading 0.3% lower at 1.4095 per U.S. dollar, or 70.95 U.S. cents, after touching its weakest intraday level since November 7 at 1.4107.

U.S. job growth accelerated in September, but the unemployment rate increased to a four-year high of 4.4% and the economy in August shed jobs for the second time this year as employers navigate an uncertain environment.

"The picture is murky, and the Fed is essentially flying blind into its final meeting of the year," said Kevin Ford, FX & macro strategist at Convera. "Even strong jobs data and Nvidia beating expectations haven't been enough to calm market jitters."

Wall Street's main indexes lost ground as early enthusiasm driven by Nvidia's earnings faded with investors questioning lofty valuations in the technology sector. The U.S. dollar held on to its recent gains against a basket of major currencies, while the price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, was trading 0.1% lower at $59.41 a barrel. Domestic data had little impact. Canadian producer prices rose 1.5% in October from September on higher prices for primary non-ferrous metal products, as well as lumber and other sawmill products, while prices were up 6% year-over-year.

Canadian retail sales data for September is due on Friday. Analysts expect sales to decline 0.7% after rising 1% in August.

Canadian government bond yields moved lower across the curve, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year was down 3.2 basis points at 3.230%, pulling back from an earlier two-and-a-half-month high at 3.276%. (Reporting by Fergal Smith, Editing by Nick Zieminski)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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