UBS Keeps Its Forecast of A Bank of Canada 2.25% Policy Rate Through End 2027

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 11/12/25 12:29 PM EST

12:29 PM EST, 11/12/2025 (MT Newswires) -- UBS said it retains its forecast of a 2.25% Bank of Canada policy rate through the end of 2027.

The statement following the October BoC policy meeting stated, "If inflation and economic activity evolve broadly in line with the October projection, Governing Council sees the current policy rate at about the right level to keep inflation close to 2% while helping the economy through this period of structural adjustment."

This is consistent with the bank's view that it would require notable economic weakening for the BoC to lower the policy rate further below 2.25%, which is the lower end of its estimate of neutral.

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