TREASURIES-US government bonds rally as soft labour data points to rate cuts

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/11/25 08:28 PM EST

SINGAPORE, Nov 12 (Reuters) - U.S. government bonds rallied in early Asia trade on Wednesday after a private survey pointed to weakness in the labour market, raising investor expectations for further interest rate cuts.

Benchmark 10-year yields were down 3.1 basis points at 4.0791%, according to data compiled by LSEG. Two-year yields fell 3.1 to 3.5596%.

The Treasury market had been closed on Tuesday for Veterans Day. Yields fall when bond prices rise.

U.S. firms were shedding more than 11,000 jobs a week through late October, payroll processor ADP said on Tuesday in its latest real-time estimate of job market trends.

"Any further labour market weakness could push the Fed to increase its rate cuts," said analysts at ANZ Bank.

Expectations for a cut as soon as December firmed very slightly overnight, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Policymakers and investors have been flying blind for a few weeks as the U.S. government shutdown has halted data publication. Congress is moving toward approving a reopening deal and investors expect that September payrolls may be among the first sets of delayed data to be published.

(Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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