US Fed's Latest Move Could be Last 'Easy' Rate Cut, ProShares Strategist Says

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 11/03/25 03:29 PM EST

03:29 PM EST, 11/03/2025 (MT Newswires) -- US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks questioning the likelihood of another rate cut in December suggest that the central bank may have reached the end of its "easy" phase of policy easing, according to commentary from Simeon Hyman, global investment strategist at ProShares.

Hyman noted that with inflation hovering around 3%, the Fed funds rate is nearing its "neutral" level of about 4%, meaning further rate cuts will be difficult unless inflation declines further.

Despite the rate cut, 10-year Treasury yields climbed, signaling investor skepticism about how soon inflation will return to the Fed's 2% goal, Hyman added.

Powell emphasized that inflation continues to trend lower, suggesting the economy may be on track for a solid soft landing following the post-COVID-19 inflation surge, Hyman said.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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