PRECIOUS-Gold slips as dollar firms on Fed rate caution

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/31/25 03:25 AM EDT

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Traders reduce expectations for 25bp cut in December

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Bullion has gained 4% so far this month

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Palladium up more than 1%

(Updates for Asia market close)

By Brijesh Patel

Oct 31 (Reuters) - Gold prices slipped on Friday, as the dollar firmed on uncertainty over further Federal Reserve rate cuts, although the bullion was still set for its third consecutive monthly gain.

Spot gold was down 0.3% at $4,011.60 per ounce, as of 0700 GMT. Bullion has gained 4% so far this month.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery rose 0.1% to $4,021.20 per ounce.

"The Fed Chairman did have his hawkish cap on this week, which didn't do gold any favours," said KCM Trade's Chief Market Analyst Tim Waterer.

"The prospect of a rate cut in December now looks like it could be much more of a toss-up than was previously thought, which has boosted the dollar while making things a bit more complicated for gold from a yield perspective."

The dollar index held near its highest level in three months against its rivals, making bullion more expensive for other currency holders.

On Wednesday, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the second time this year, taking the benchmark overnight rate to a target range of 3.75%-4.00%.

Traders scaled back bets of another rate cut at its next policy meeting in December after Chair Jerome Powell's remarks.

Markets now price in a 74.8% probability of a 25-bp cut compared with 91.1% chance a week ago, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.

On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump said he had agreed to trim tariffs on China in exchange for Beijing cracking down on the illicit fentanyl trade, resuming U.S. soybean purchases and keeping rare earths exports flowing.

Meanwhile, gold was sold at a discount this week in India for the first time in seven weeks, while a pullback in prices lifted activity in other Asian hubs.

Elsewhere, spot silver was up 0.4% at $49.1 per ounce, platinum gained 0.6% to $1,621.60 and palladium climbed 1.2% to $1,462.43. (Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu, Mrigank Dhaniwala, Harikrishnan nair)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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