Japan bonds rise after dovish BOJ stokes demand at two-year auction

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/31/25 01:06 AM EDT

By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Japanese government bonds rose on Friday, reversing earlier losses, after strong demand at an auction of two-year notes ended a run of weak sales for the tenor.

Investors returned to the debt after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda adopted a relatively dovish stance on Thursday, following the central bank's decision to again hold off on raising interest rates.

"It is likely that renewed buying interest emerged in the two-year sector (after) a hawkish surprise was averted, and expectations for increases in policy rates over the short- to medium-term eased," said Shoki Omori, chief desk strategist at Mizuho Securities.

"Although the two-year sector is currently assessed as rich on the yield curve, demand remained resilient."

The two-year JGB yield declined 1.5 basis points (bps) to 0.91% after the auction results were announced. Earlier in the day, the yield had edged up to 0.93%. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

A closely watched indicator of demand called the bid-to-cover ratio, which measures the amount of bids received against the amount of bonds on offer, rose to 4.35 at the same, returning to long-term averages after two months of successive 16-year lows.

The so-called tail, measuring the difference between the average and lowest prices at the sale, contracted to 0.002 yen, the smallest in more than four years.

The five-year yield was flat at 1.21%, shedding an earlier 1.5 bps rise.

The 30-year yield fell as much as 1 bp to 3.025%, a three-month low.

Other tenors had not yet traded following the auction results. (Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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