INDIA BONDS-India bonds continue to drop before weekly debt sale

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/31/25 01:02 AM EDT

(Updates at market open)

By Khushi Malhotra

MUMBAI, Oct 31 (Reuters) -

Indian government bonds extended losses in early trade on Friday as traders stayed cautious ahead of the weekly debt auction, following a sharp sell-off the previous day after hawkish comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year note was at 6.5863% as of 10:30 a.m. IST. It settled at 6.5730% on Thursday, its highest close since September 30 and the biggest single day jump in six weeks.

Bond yields rise when prices fall.

New Delhi is set to sell bonds worth 320 billion rupees ($3.6 billion) including 50 billion rupees of 29-year old green bonds.

"Demand at the auction will be crucial, but it is unlikely to drive 10-yr yield below 6.55%," a trader at a private bank said.

"We have oversold and are looking for strong catalysts to resume buying."

The Indian 10-year yield broke crucial level of 6.55% on Thursday, after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signalled in his speech that a December rate cut was not yet a done deal, even as the market had widely priced it in.

The following rout in U.S. Treasuries spilled into India bonds, already hurt by supply-demand concerns and tight liquidity.

India's banking system liquidity has swung between deficit and surplus in the past few weeks, with negligible net liquidity injections amid the RBI's interventions to anchor the rupee.

A shrinking banking system liquidity in the market has kept the volumes thin, traders said.

Traders are also tracking a potential U.S.-India trade deal that could reduce tariff impact on growth and have a bearing on the rate easing trajectory.

RATES

India's overnight index swap rates (OIS) were flat-to-higher as sentiment remained cautious ahead of debt supply and US Treasury yields continued to rise.

The one-year OIS rate was flat at 5.48% and the two-year rate was unchanged at 5.44%. The five-year swap rate rose 1.5 bps to 5.67%. ($1 = 88.6950 Indian rupees) (Reporting by Khushi Malhotra; Editing by Sumana Nandy)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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