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S&P Global raises annual earnings forecasts on strong bond issuance activity

BY Reuters | CORPORATE | 10/30/25 08:59 AM EDT

(Reuters) -S&P Global (SPGI) raised its annual earnings forecasts on Thursday, as robust bond issuance activity drove growth in its ratings business, sending its shares up 2.4% before the bell.

Credit spreads, a crucial gauge of the health of the corporate sector, were relatively tight in the third quarter, creating a favorable environment for bond issuance.

With corporate bond issuance strong, the September quarter rounded out to be a robust one for ratings agencies.

S&P now expects annual revenue growth of 7% to 8%, compared with its prior forecast of 5% to 7%. Annual adjusted EPS is expected in the range of $17.60 and $17.85, higher than its previous forecast of $17 and $17.25.

Revenue at S&P's ratings business jumped 12% to $1.24 billion in the three months ended September 30 from a year earlier.

Analysts expect the strong bond issuance momentum to carry forward, driven by M&A activity pickup, looming debt maturities and increasing data center funding.

Ratings agency Moody's earlier this month also raised its annual earnings forecast.

PORTFOLIO SIMPLIFICATION

S&P has also been working actively to streamline its business. The company announced in April that it would spin off its mobility business and, earlier this month, it sold its OSTTRA joint venture to asset manager KKR.

S&P announced on Thursday that it would also divest its Enterprise Data Management and thinkFolio businesses, both housed within the market intelligence division, in the coming months.

Market intelligence, S&P's biggest business, was another bright spot as its revenue jumped 6% to $1.24 billion in the third quarter.

S&P had last year rejigged the leadership team in the market intelligence business. Earlier this month, it struck a $1.8 billion deal for With Intelligence, in a move to deepen its private markets push.

Its indices arm also shone as higher market levels boosted asset-based revenues. The business reported an 11% jump in quarterly revenue.

(Reporting by Arasu Kannagi Basil in Bengaluru; Editing by Shreya Biswas)

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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