Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Declines Less Than Expected in Preliminary October Survey

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 10/10/25 10:15 AM EDT

10:15 AM EDT, 10/10/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index fell slightly to 55.0 in October from 55.1 in September, compared with expectations for a larger decrease to 54.0 in a survey compiled by Bloomberg as of 8:07 am ET.

The current conditions index rose to 61.0 in October from 60.4 in September, while the expectations reading decreased to 51.2 from 51.7.

Michigan said that consumers are concerned about high prices and weakening job prospects. The interviews showed little evidence that consumer sentiments are affected by the government shut down so far.

Respondents saw one-year inflation expectations at 4.6%, down from 4.7% in September, while five-year inflation expectations remained at 3.7%.

The twice-monthly Michigan Sentiment index measures consumer sentiment early in the current month (the preliminary estimate) and is then revised later in the month (the final estimate). The headline index is a combination of the current assessment and expectations for the near future.

An increase in the reading suggests consumers are more confident, a positive for stocks if that confidence translates into spending. Increased demand is usually inflationary, a negative for bonds.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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