MIDEAST STOCKS-Most Gulf markets gain on US rate cut hopes, Gaza ceasefire

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/09/25 09:12 AM EDT
    (Updates to move close prices)
    By Ateeq Shariff
       Oct 9 - Most stock markets in the Gulf ended higher on
Thursday supported by hopes of further U.S. interest rate cuts
this year and a ceasefire deal in Gaza that could ease
geopolitical tensions in the region.
    Saudi Arabia's benchmark index rose 0.2%, led by a
0.8% rise in Al Rajhi Bank and a 1.1% increase in
Saudi Arabian Mining Company.
    Market participants cheered Israel and Hamas agreeing to the
first phase of U.S. President Donald Trump's plan for Gaza on
Wednesday, a ceasefire and hostage deal that could open the way
to ending a bloody two-year-old war that has upended the Middle
East.
    The Gaza ceasefire agreement offers a window of opportunity
for significant economic and investment transitions in the
Middle East. It presents a chance to rebuild regional confidence
and redirect capital toward growth and development rather than
caution and risk aversion, said Rania Gule, senior market
analyst at XS.COM.
    "While the current phase allows investors to move tactically
toward higher-risk assets, prudence and disciplined portfolio
management remain essential to ensure that this opportunity is
leveraged safely and sustainably."
    The Qatari index gained 0.3%, with telecom firm
Ooredoo advancing 1.6%.
    Federal Reserve officials agreed that risks to the U.S. job
market were high enough to warrant a rate cut, but remained wary
amid stubborn inflation, per minutes of the September 16-17
meeting released on Wednesday.
    Markets are pricing in a 25-basis-point cut each in October
and December, with probabilities of 93% and 78%, respectively,
according to the CME FedWatch tool.
    The Fed's stance carries heavy clout in the Gulf, where most
currencies are pegged to the U.S. dollar, anchoring regional
monetary policy.
    In Abu Dhabi, the index inched 0.1% higher.
However, gains were limited by losses in Abu Dhabi National Oil
Company's (ADNOC) listed subsidiaries, including ADNOC Drilling
, which declined 3.6%.
    Abu Dhabi state oil giant ADNOC said on Wednesday that its
six publicly listed subsidiaries will distribute 158 billion
dirhams ($43.02 billion) in dividends by 2030.

    ** Egypt was closed for a public holiday

 Saudi                rose 0.2%
 Arabia       to 11,583
 Abu Dhabi               up
              0.1%% to 10,143
 Dubai                 was flat
              at 5,958
 Qatar               added 0.3%
              to 10,897
 Bahrain             finished
              flat at 1,971
 Oman                  gained 1%
              to 5,250
 Kuwait              lost 0.5%
              to 9,302

    ($1 = 3.6729 UAE dirham)

 (Reporting by Ateeq Shariff in Bengaluru; Editing by Janane
Venkatraman and Tasim Zahid)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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