PRECIOUS-Gold hits record high on U.S. government shutdown and Fed rate cut bets

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/01/25 05:31 AM EDT

(Updates prices for EMEA mid-session trading)

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Gold hits record high of $3,858.18 an ounce

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US central bank expected to cut interest rates this month

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ADP national employment report due later today

By Ishaan Arora

Oct 1 (Reuters) - Gold prices hit a record high on Wednesday, supported by safe-haven demand as the U.S. government shut down most operations, while growing expectations of a cut to U.S. interest rates added to the metal's appeal.

Spot gold gained 0.8% to $3,886.97 an ounce by 1055 GMT after touching a record peak of $3,898.18.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery jumped by 1.1% to $3,914.50.

The dollar weakened against a basket of other leading currencies, making dollar-priced gold more affordable for overseas buyers.

"The dollar is weakening on the back of expectations of an increasingly dovish Fed," said ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista, referring to the U.S. Federal Reserve.

"This dynamic has accelerated after a failed attempt to pass a spending bill triggered a government shutdown, which could weigh on economic output." The U.S. government shutdown, triggered by the failure of Congress and the White House to reach a funding deal, could lead to the loss of thousands of federal jobs and could also delay the release of economic data including Friday's non-farm payrolls (NFP) report.

Non-yielding gold, viewed as a safe-haven asset in times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, thrives when interest rates are low.

"Most likely the Fed doesn't really need the (NFP) report to make up its mind (on a cut to interest rates)," said Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke, adding that the central bank has room for more monetary easing.

Investors are pricing in a 95% chance of a rate cut this month, the CME FedWatch Tool shows.

The ADP national employment report due later in the day is expected to offer additional labour market insights.

In other precious metals, spot silver gained 1.2% to a more than 14-year high of $47.22 an ounce, platinum rose 0.4% to $1,580.55 and palladium was steady at $1,259.68. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru Editing by Ed Osmond and David Goodman)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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