Euro zone yields edge up after US shutdown, eye Treasuries for direction

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 10/01/25 02:50 AM EDT

By Stefano Rebaudo

Oct 1 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields edged up, with investors staying on the sidelines as the U.S. government shut down most of its operations, which is expected to delay the release of key jobs data.

Germany's 10-year Bund yields, the bloc's benchmark, rose 2 basis points to 2.73%.

Tuesday's economic data from the bloc failed to trigger price action in the sovereign bond markets.

Bonds from the single currency bloc are seen to take direction from moves in U.S. Treasuries, which were up in early London trade. Benchmark 10-year yield rose 2 bps to 4.17%.

Germany's 2-year yields, more sensitive to expectations for European Central Bank policy rates, rose 1 bp to 2.03%.

Traders priced in about a 30% chance of a 25 bps ECB rate cut by July. The key rate is seen at 1.99% in February 2027, from the current 2%. The yield gap between safe-haven Bunds and 10-year French government bonds - a market gauge of the risk premium investors demand to hold French debt - was 82 bps, close to its seven-month high, after new French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu said he aimed for a budget deficit of around 4.7% of GDP in 2026. (reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; editing by Alex Richardson)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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