Japan's 2-year bond yield climbs after weakest auction in 16 years

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 09/30/25 01:34 AM EDT

By Junko Fujita

TOKYO, Sept 30 (Reuters) - Japan's two-year bond yield edged up on Tuesday after an auction witnessed the weakest demand in 16 years, as hawkish comments from the central bank stoked bets on interest rate hikes.

The two-year JGB yield rose 1 basis point to 0.935%, its highest level since June 2008.

"The auction was weak as investors were cautions about the BOJ's early interest rate hike," said Miki Den, senior Japan rate strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities.

BOJ board members debated the feasibility of raising interest rates in the near term, with some suggesting the time for such a move may be approaching, a summary of opinions at the central bank's September policy meeting showed on Tuesday.

The summary followed comments from a dovish BOJ board member Asahi Noguchi, who said on Monday the need for an interest rate hike was increasing "more than ever."

The auction received bids worth 2.81 times the amount sold, the lowest bid-to cover ratio since September 2009.

There are concerns about increasing supply of two-year bonds, strategists said, as the finance ministry boosted the amount of two-year bonds sold on Tuesday by 100 billion yen ($673.36 million) compared to the previous month's auction, to 2.7 trillion yen.

The ministry has also proposed cutting the issuance of super-long government bonds in liquidity enhancement auctions and reallocating their share of issuance to bonds with maturities between one and five years.

Despite these hurdles, the increase in the two-year bond yield was limited because traders took a cue from declines in U.S. Treasury yields overnight, said Keisuke Tsuruta, a senior fixed income strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.

The 10-year JGB yield fell 1 bp to 1.63% and the 20-year JGB yield fell 1.5 bps to 2.575%.

The 30-year JGB yield fell 2.5 bps to 3.095%.

($1 = 148.5100 yen) (Reporting by Junko Fujita)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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