CIBC's Week Ahead Market Call For Canada

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 09/19/25 02:15 PM EDT

02:15 PM EDT, 09/19/2025 (MT Newswires) -- In Canada, Avery Shenfeld noted, the plunge in Q2 GDP was exacerbated by the fact that exporters rushed goods to the U.S. market in Q1 to beat a feared across the board tariff. Shenfeld said the monthly GDP figures for July and the advance reading for August due out next Friday will likely be consistent with a rebound in Q3 that will only erase some of the Q2 dip, thereby leaving the Bank of Canada on track for a further quarter point cut in October, even with July a hair above the consensus expectation.

(Also on the CIBC calendar for next week are August Industrial Product Prices and Raw Materials on Monday. That same day there will be appearances from two different BoC Deputy Governors, with Sharon Kozicki participating by videoconference at 9.45am ET on a panel jointly organized by the BIS, the ECB and SUERF, and then Carolyn Rogers on a panel at the London School of Economics in the United Kingdom at 3.15pm ET.

(After that on Tuesday will be the auction of $14.6 billion in 3-M Bills and $5.2 billion in 6-M Bills and $5.2 billion in 1-Yr Bills. That same day BoC Governor Tiff Macklem will address the Greater Saskatoon Chamber of Commerce at 2.30pm ET.

(After that on Wednesday will be the auction of $5.3 billion in 10-YR CANADAS, and then on Thursday the auction of $3 billion in 3-YR CANADAS. Thursday will also see the release of July Payrolls data.)

Price: 112.26, Change: +1.30, Percent Change: +1.17

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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