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CIBC's Week Ahead Market Call For Canada

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 09/12/25 02:01 PM EDT

02:01 PM EDT, 09/12/2025 (MT Newswires) -- In Canada, Ali Jaffery and Andrew Grantham noted, the central bank is expected on Wednesday to restart interest rate cuts with a 25bp move, and keep the door open to further reductions.

The CIBC duo suspect that the CPI data for August released the day before [Tuesday] the BoC meeting would need to surprise significantly to the upside to prevent such an initial rate move. They said that seems unlikely given recent weakness in the labour market and the recent run of fairly muted core inflation readings.

Outside of that, the CIBC pair believe indicators for July growth will be mixed, with Manufacturing shipments and Wholesale sales data due out Monday pointing to increases, but July Retail Sales on Friday slipping back following a strong June.

(Also on the CIBC calendar for next week are August Existing home Sales on Monday, and August Housing Starts on Tuesday; followed by July Int' Security Transactions on Wednesday.)

Price: 109.53, Change: -0.50, Percent Change: -0.45

MT Newswires does not provide investment advice. Unauthorized reproduction is strictly prohibited.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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