US Equity Indexes Mixed, Treasury Yields Rise as Michigan Consumer Sentiment Drops to Four-Month Low
BY MT Newswires | TREASURY | 09/12/25 12:57 PM EDT12:57 PM EDT, 09/12/2025 (MT Newswires) -- US equity indexes were mixed after midday Friday as investors weighed a drop in the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment to the weakest since May alongside hotter medium-term inflation expectations.
The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.4% to 22,140.1, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4% to 45,918.5, and the S&P 500 was little changed at 6,588.9. Consumer discretionary and technology were among the gainers intraday, while materials and healthcare led the decliners.
Most Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year up 5.9 basis points to 4.07% and the two-year rate 3.3 basis points higher at 3.56%.
The University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index declined to 55.4 in September from 58.2 in August, missing the 58.0 estimate compiled by Bloomberg. One-year inflation expectations in the Michigan poll were 4.8%, unchanged from August and in line with the guidance in the Bloomberg poll. However, five-year inflation expectations climbed to 3.9% from 3.5%, versus the 3.4% consensus.
"Consumers continue to note multiple vulnerabilities in the economy, with rising risks to business conditions, labor markets, and inflation," Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu said in a statement. "Likewise, consumers perceive risks to their pocketbooks as well; current and expected personal finances both eased about 8% this month."
Ahead of the two-day Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting next week, markets are pricing a 77% probability that the Federal Open Market Committee will lower interest rates by 75 basis points between now and December, up from 65% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
There is zero chance, unchanged from a week earlier, that the Fed will leave rates unchanged on Sept. 17, meaning the policy easing cycle will resume this month.
West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures jumped 0.9% to $62.92 a barrel. The Ukraine strike overnight on Russia's Primorsk oil port near St. Petersburg damaged the port and pipeline pumping stations, Bloomberg reported.
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