US Equity Markets End Higher, Jump in Jobless Claims Lifts Rate Cut Outlook

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 09/11/25 04:31 PM EDT

04:31 PM EDT, 09/11/2025 (MT Newswires) -- US equity indexes rose to fresh record highs Thursday after a sharp increase in weekly jobless claims increased the likelihood of three interest rate cuts by year's end.

* Initial jobless claims increased to 263,000 for the week ended Sept. 6, up from a revised 236,000 the prior week, exceeding the 235,000 forecast in a Bloomberg survey, and reaching the highest level since October 2021.

* The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday that the consumer price index rose 0.4% in August, up from 0.2% in July and the largest increase since January, slightly above the 0.3% Bloomberg-polled consensus, while annual inflation accelerated to 2.9% from 2.7%, matching expectations. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, remained steady at 0.3% for the month and 3.1% annually, both in line with forecasts.

* According to the CME FedWatch tool, the interest rate futures market is discounting 71 basis points of aggregate easing through the end of 2025.

* October West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell $1.44 to settle at $62.23 per barrel, while November Brent crude, the global benchmark, was last seen down $1.25 to $66.24.

* Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is planning a mostly cash offer for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) , The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday, citing unnamed sources. Warner Bros. shares rose nearly 30% before the close, making it the leading gainer on the S&P 500. Paramount Skydance (PSKY) stock ended 15.6% higher.

* Netflix (NFLX) shares were down roughly 3.4%, marking the second-largest drop on the S&P 500, after Bloomberg News reported Wednesday that Chief Product Officer Eunice Kim is leaving the company. Chief Technology Officer Elizabeth Stone will assume Kim's responsibilities on an interim basis.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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