August US Median Inflation Expectations Accelerate for Short Term, Unchanged for Medium Term, According to NY Fed Survey

11:19 AM EDT, 09/08/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Consumer expectations for one-year US inflation growth increased to a 3.2% gain in August from a 3.1% gain in the previous month, according to a survey released by the New York Federal Reserve Bank on Monday.

The median inflation expectations remained at 3.0% gain for the fourth consecutive month for the three-year period and were unchanged from a 2.9% gain in the previous month for five years ahead.

The median inflation uncertainty rose to 3.6% from 3.5% in the one-year horizon and rose to 3.4% from 3.3% for the three-year outlook.

Median home price change expectations remained at 3.0% for the fourth straight month while home price uncertainty increased to a 3.9% increase from a 3.8% increase in the previous month.

The median one-year expectations commodity prices growth slowed for cost of college education, medical care and rent but were unchanged for food, gas and gold.

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