Euro zone bond yields lag US Treasuries after US economic data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 09/05/25 09:49 AM EDT

By Stefano Rebaudo

Sept 5 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields lagged behind U.S. Treasuries, which dropped sharply after data releases on Friday, sending the spread between German and U.S. borrowing costs to its lowest level since early April.

U.S. job growth weakened in August while the unemployment rate increased, confirming that labour market conditions were softening, boosting bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Stronger economic prospects and expectations of "higher for longer" policy rates slowed the decline in euro area yields.

Money markets priced in 70 basis points of Fed monetary easing by December, implying two 25 bps cuts and an 80% chance of a third move, from 60 bps before economic figures.

They also indicated a 25 bps rate cut in September, along with a 10% chance of a 50 bps move - up from zero before the data release.

Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone bloc, fell five bps to 2.67%. It hit 2.80% on Tuesday, its highest level since March 26.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped 10 bps to 4.08%, narrowing the yield gap between U.S. and German borrowing costs to 141 bps, its lowest since April 7, when a sharp selloff in U.S. assets started.

Ultra-long euro zone borrowing costs dropped late this week ahead of U.S. data, after hitting multi-year highs.

Expectations of rising debt levels have strengthened the case for a higher risk premium on longer-dated bonds.

Yields on 30-year German bonds fell four bps to 3.30%. They reached 4.434% on Wednesday, their highest level since summer 2011.

Germany's 2-year yields, more sensitive to expectations for European Central Bank policy rates, fell three bps to 1.93%.

(Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; Editing by Joe Bavier)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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