Rosenberg Research on Canadian Dollar, Bond Impact From Canada's Removal of Retaliatory Tariffs

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 08/25/25 09:10 AM EDT

09:10 AM EDT, 08/25/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Lost on Friday's intense focus on Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell was the decision by Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney to drop 25% countervailing tariffs on most U.S. imports -- over $20 billion, said Rosenberg Research.

The government's decision is likely to give the Bank of Canada some leeway to rekindle its rate-cutting program, seeing as the effect this should have on bringing core inflation back towards target at a time when the unemployment rate is clearly drifting higher and the disinflationary output gap is widening, noted Rosenberg Research.

This should help provide more impetus to the bond market and undercut the listless Canadian dollar (CAD or loonie) -- the weakest-performing G-10 currency year-to-date -- even as the Federal Reserve restarts its easing cycle, stated Rosenberg.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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