BMO Comments on Canada's Youth Unemployment

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 08/19/25 08:26 AM EDT

08:26 AM EDT, 08/19/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Canada's youth unemployment rate rose to 14.6% in July, the highest rate since 2010, aside from the extreme distortion of the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, said Bank of Montreal (BMO).

Before 2020, the highest youth jobless rate was set in 1982 at just above 20%. But that sky-high rate was accompanied by the highest overall jobless rate of the post-war era (13.1%), noted the bank.

One way to drill down to the specific pressure on youth versus the overall population is to look at the ratio of the

youth rate (14.6%) versus the rate for those 25 and over (5.7%), which is now around 2.5:1, stated BMO. That ratio, which the bank has smoothed over a year, tends to ebb and flow in line with the underlying population growth of those aged 15-24.

So, unsurprisingly, when the youth population swells, it tends to drive up the youth jobless rate relative to others.

The past few years have seen extreme growth in the 15-24

category, largely due to the large influx of international

students. In one single 12-month period (to July 2024), the

youth population surged by 7.2% year over year. Is it any wonder the youth jobless rate then spiked, asked BMO.

MT Newswires does not provide investment advice. Unauthorized reproduction is strictly prohibited.

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

fir_news_article