SocGen Asks If Tuesday's Canada CPI Can Inflict Pain on Global Bonds

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 08/19/25 07:51 AM EDT

07:51 AM EDT, 08/19/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Societe Generale asked if Canadian consumer price index data can inflict more pain on global bonds on Tuesday.

Canada will release July's CPI at 8:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday.

The consensus for core (trimmed mean) is for a rise to 3.1% year over year from 3.0%, said the bank.

The re-acceleration would raise questions over further policy easing by the Bank of Canada and more broadly reinforce perceptions over the stickiness of inflation and challenges facing central banks in offsetting the negative impact of tariffs on growth, stated SocGen.

The minutes of the last BoC meeting indicated that further easing isn't ruled out, depending on incoming data.

In the July Monetary Policy Report, the central bank lowered its estimate of headline inflation for this year by 0.4pp to 1.9% for next year by 0.1pp to 2.0%.

MT Newswires does not provide investment advice. Unauthorized reproduction is strictly prohibited.

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

fir_news_article