US Equity Markets End Mixed After Sharp Rise in July's US Producer Price Index

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 08/14/25 04:21 PM EDT

04:21 PM EDT, 08/14/2025 (MT Newswires) -- US benchmark equity indexes were mixed Thursday after July's wholesale price inflation accelerated to its sharpest rise in three years, raising concerns among investors that September's interest rate decision may be more cautious.

* The US Producer Price Index rose 0.9% in July, marking the largest monthly increase since June 2022 and exceeding Bloomberg's forecast of 0.2%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, also climbed 0.9%, beating expectations and matching June's rate, the biggest gain since March 2022. On an annual basis, headline PPI rose 3.3% and core PPI accelerated to 3.7%, both higher than the 2.4% and 2.6% respective rates seen in June.

* The chances of a 25-basis-point rate cut in September dropped to 89% on Thursday from 94% a day earlier, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, after the release of PPI data on Thursday. Meanwhile, the likelihood of rates staying unchanged next month rose to 12%, up from zero the previous day.

* September West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose $1.37 to settle at $64.02 per barrel, while October Brent crude, the global benchmark, was last seen down $1.31 to $66.94.

* Texas Pacific Land (TPL) shares gained about 3.8% after the company announced plans to pursue a dual listing of its stock on the NYSE Texas.

* Deere (DE) shares were down about 6.6% after the company reported lower fiscal Q3 results and cut its net income guidance for fiscal 2025.

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In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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