GLOBAL MARKETS-World shares hit record as rate cut hopes, tame inflation data buoy sentiment

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 08/13/25 07:56 AM EDT

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MSCI All Country World Index touches record

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Euro STOXX 600 gains 0.5%

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US inflation data below expectations, easing stagflation fears

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Fed rate cut expected, boosting Wall Street and Asian markets

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Nikkei attains record high above 43,000

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Dollar falls to two-week low

(Updates prices in early afternoon European trading)

By Tom Wilson

LONDON, Aug 13 (Reuters) -

Global shares hit a record high and the dollar weakened on Wednesday as investors cheered mild inflation data, and expectations of a U.S. rate next month buoyed demand for riskier assets.

The MSCI All Country World Index of shares climbed for a second day and reached 951.74, an all-time high. Japan's Nikkei stock index, meanwhile, set a fresh peak for a second straight session.

European stocks advanced 0.5%, with German shares adding 0.6%. Defence stocks led the gains, up 1.2%.

U.S. inflation readings, which on Tuesday showed the consumer price index (CPI) rising slightly less than forecast in the year through July, indicated President Donald Trump's import tariffs had yet to filter down to consumer prices.

That helped Wall Street scale new heights, supported by increasing certainty that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month.

"The fact that CPI was broadly as expected was met with relief, leading to equity gains and tighter credit spreads as investors became increasingly confident about another rate cut," Deutsche Bank analysts wrote.

Also boosting market optimism was Trump's signing of an executive order pausing triple-digit levies on Chinese imports for another 90 days.

The positive mood was set to spread to Wall Street, where a gauge of S&P 500 futures reached a record high, pointing to a 0.2% advance.

In Japan, a Reuters poll that tracks the Bank of Japan's quarterly business survey showed the Japanese manufacturers' sentiment index improved for a second straight month.

Another report showed Japan's wholesale inflation slowed in July, underscoring the central bank's view that upward price pressure from raw material costs will ease.

The Nikkei rose for the sixth straight day, breaking the 43,000 level for the first time and hitting a fresh record high.

Risk-sensitive cryptocurrency ether rose to an almost four-year high above $4,710.

FED CUT

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of major peers, fell for a second day to its lowest in two weeks. It was last down 0.3% at 97.70.

The dollar lost 0.2% against the yen to 147.52. The euro added 0.3% to $1.1711, after a 0.5% jump in the previous session.

Traders are pricing in a 98% chance of a Fed cut in September, up from about 57% a month ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Investors had been on tenterhooks about the inflation data because it followed a surprisingly weak jobs report on August 1 and had the potential to stoke concerns about stagflation - when an economy suffers both high inflation and high unemployment.

Trump has nominated White House adviser Stephen Miran to temporarily fill a vacant board seat at the U.S. central bank, stirring up speculation about presidential interference in monetary policy.

And the White House said it was "the plan" that the Bureau of Labor Statistics would continue to publish its closely watched monthly employment report after Trump's pick to head the agency, E.J. Antoni, proposed suspending its release.

Speculation the labour report would be halted has "done the USD no favours and would have only incentivised foreign investors to review their hedging ratios on U.S. investments," Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said in a note.

In sovereign bond markets, German 30-year bond yields fell on Wednesday, retreating from the previous day's 14-year high sparked by uncertainty linked to Trump's efforts to end the war in Ukraine.

U.S. crude fell 0.2% to $62.99 a barrel.

(Reporting by Tom Wilson in London; additional reporting by Rocky Swift in Tokyo; Editing by Jacqueline Wong, Lincoln Feast and Kate Mayberry)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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