US STOCKS-S&P 500, Nasdaq futures at record highs on September rate cut expectations
BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 08/13/25 06:13 AM EDT(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click or type LIVE/ in a news window.)
*
Futures up: Dow 0.23%, S&P 500 0.17%, Nasdaq 0.23%
Aug 13 (Reuters) - Futures tracking the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq indexes were pinned at record highs on Wednesday, buoyed by increasing confidence that the Federal Reserve could restart its monetary policy easing cycle next month.
Signs that U.S. taxes on imports have not fully filtered into headline consumer prices sparked a relief rally on Wall Street in the previous session, with the benchmark S&P 500 marking its first record high close in two weeks.
Despite core inflation marking its biggest jump since the start of the year, investors factored in recent weakness in the job market and a shake-up at the Federal Reserve as they leaned in favor of a potential dovish move by the central bank in September.
Interest rate futures now reflect a 98% chance of a 25 basis points interest rate cut, according to data compiled by LSEG, compared with 88.8% on Tuesday. The central bank last lowered borrowing costs in December.
"The U.S. inflation reading was in line with market expectations, and the downside risks in the labor market are likely to outweigh inflation concerns," said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
"Our base case remains that the Fed will resume rate cuts at the September meeting and continue cutting for a total of 100 bps."
At 5:35 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 104 points, or 0.23%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 11.5 points, or 0.17% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 54.25 points, or 0.23%.
The CBOE volatility index, popularly referred to as Wall Street's fear gauge, dropped to 14.55 - its lowest since January.
Rate-sensitive banking stocks such as Bank of America
Analysts said a steepening yield curve following the inflation report could help bank earnings as lenders could borrow cheap and lend at a higher rate.
Nomura was the first among brokerages to bring forward its easing forecast after the data and now expects the Fed to ease interest rates by 25 basis points in September.
Later in the day, investors will weigh in on the remarks of a number of policymakers, especially Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee - a Federal Open Market Committee voting member this year.
Earnings are also in focus. CoreWeave
Investors were also keeping an eye on developments on the
China revenue-sharing deal the U.S. government signed with chip
companies such as Nvidia
Venture Global
Crude prices traded around $60 per barrel ahead of a virtual meeting between Donald Trump and European leaders on the Russo-Ukraine conflict, two days before the U.S. president meets Russian President Vladimir Putin. (Reporting by Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel)
Print
