July US Monthly Consumer Price Growth Expected to Slow, Annual Rate to Accelerate
BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 08/11/25 02:42 PM EDT02:42 PM EDT, 08/11/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The US Consumer Price Index is expected to rise by 0.2% in July after a 0.3% gain in June, according to a survey compiled by Bloomberg, but the year-over-year rate is forecast to accelerate to 2.8% from 2.7%
The CPI data are scheduled to be released at 8:30 am ET Tuesday.
Energy prices are expected to decline after a 0.9% gain in June while food prices are expected to post a more modest increase after a 0.3% gain in the previous month.
The same survey looks for a 0.3% gain in core CPI, excluding the volatile food and energy components, after a 0.2% gain. The year-over-year rate is expected to accelerate to 3% from 2.9%.
Prices in the owners' equivalent rents and regular rents categories are forecast to add further to CPI. Those two categories combine for nearly one-third of overall CPI and are a key focus for the Federal Reserve.
New vehicle prices are expected to rebound after a 0.3% decline in the previous month, while used vehicle sales are expected to recover after falling by 0.7%.
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measures, the overall and core PCE price readings, are due to be released on Aug. 29. The CPI data are used by many analysts as a precursor to that report.
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