PRECIOUS-Safe-haven gold touches 2-week peak on trade tensions, rate cut hopes

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 08/07/25 10:10 AM EDT

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Market sees over 91% rate cut chance in Sept - CME Fedwatch

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Silver hits 2-week high

(Rewrites for US early-morning session)

By Sarah Qureshi

Aug 7 (Reuters) - Gold rose to an over two-week high on Thursday, buoyed by safe haven demand after U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs went into effect and U.S. jobs data added to rate-cut expectations.

Spot gold gained 0.6% to $3,388.09 per ounce as of 0956 a.m. ET (13:56 GMT), after hitting its highest level since July 23 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures added nearly 0.7% to $3,455.60.

"Ongoing trade tensions, and heightened geopolitical tensions continue to underpin the market with the safe haven interest," said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals.

Trump's higher tariffs on imports from a slew of countries came into effect on Thursday, leaving some trade partners like Switzerland, Brazil and India scrambling to reach a better deal.

Meanwhile, the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits ticked up to a one-month high last week, hinting at some easing in the U.S. labor market.

The data is supportive of rising expectations for Fed rate cuts, said Grant, adding "if the (U.S.) data continue to show weakness, we could see more dovish expectations develop and that is generally supportive to gold as well."

Gold, used as a store of value during economic and geopolitical uncertainty, also tends to thrive in a low-interest rate environment.

Last week, weaker U.S. payrolls data boosted rate cut bets, with the market now pricing in an over 91% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut next month, as per CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

Three Fed officials sounded the alarm on a weakening U.S. labour market, with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Wednesday saying two quarter-percentage-point rate cuts by year-end is reasonable.

Spot silver rose 1.5% to $38.40 per ounce, its highest since July 25, platinum was up 0.2% at $1,335.60 and palladium gained 2.5% to $1,159.93. (Reporting by Sarah Qureshi in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh Kuber)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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