BMO Now Sees A 25bps Bank of Canada Rate Cut in September, December 2025, March 2026
BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 07/16/25 08:10 AM EDT08:10 AM EDT, 07/16/2025 (MT Newswires) -- It was the summer of 2022 when inflation in both Canada and the United States hit a four-decade high, noted Bank of Montreal (BMO).
Three years later and -- though cost pressures have come down significantly -- the battle to restore price stability is still on-going, said the bank.
Canada's headline inflation rate picked up two-tenths to 1.9% year over year in June, while core measures remained stubborn at around 3%. According to BMO, those figures give the Bank of Canada almost nothing to justify a rate cut in July.
As such, the bank has pushed back its rate-cut call, now expecting a 25bps move in September, December 2025 and March 2026.
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