Mitsubishi UFG Comments on Sweden's Krona After Inflation Surprise Makes Central Bank Rate Cut Less Likely

BY MT Newswires | ECONOMIC | 07/08/25 08:31 AM EDT

08:31 AM EDT, 07/08/2025 (MT Newswires) -- There was a big upside inflation surprise on Monday in Sweden, which has killed expectations for another rate cut from the Riksbank as soon as next month, said MUFG.

The release of the latest consumer price index report from Sweden revealed that core inflation (CPIF excluding energy) jumped to 3.3% year over year in June up from 2.5% in May.

The Riksbank will now have to wait for confirmation as to whether the pick-up will prove temporary before considering cutting rates again to support the weak economic recovery in Sweden, stated MUFG.

The hawkish repricing of Riksbank expectations has helped to prevent EUR/SEK from breaking above resistance from the 200-day moving average at just above the 11.200-level, added the bank.

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