TREASURIES-US yields retreat from day's highs after weak spending data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 06/27/25 09:27 AM EDT

(Adds new comments, details, updates prices)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, June 27 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields came off session highs on Friday, but remained marginally up on the day, after data showed consumer spending declined unexpectedly in May even though inflation remained tepid, as markets started pricing in a quicker pace of Federal Reserve easing this year.

U.S. 10-year yields were last little changed at 4.257% , compared with 4.269% before the data. On the front end of the curve, two-year yields were at 3.739%, up 2.5 basis points, from 3.754% just before.

Friday's data showed U.S. consumer spending unexpectedly fell in May, dipping 0.1% last month after an unrevised 0.2% gain in April, as the boost from the pre-emptive buying of goods like motor vehicles ahead of tariffs eased. According to Action Economics, this is the first decline in spending since September 2021.

U.S. personal income also fell 0.4% last month.

"For the moment, there is nothing of consequence to worry about on the inflation side of this report. There is, however, an unexpected drop in consumer spending, the first since the pandemic," Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, said in emailed comments.

"That is something to think about. The Fed will make note of this report."

Following the data, traders in rate futures on Friday added to bets the Fed will lower short-term borrowing costs by 75 basis points in 2025, most likely starting in September.

Fed funds futures priced in about 65 bps of rate cuts in 2025. (Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Jane Merriman and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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