TREASURIES-US yields fall after Fed's Bowman signals potential rate cut as soon as July

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 06/23/25 10:38 AM EDT

NEW YORK, June 23 (Reuters) - Yields on U.S. Treasuries fell on Monday morning after Federal Reserve vice-chair Michelle Bowman said the first interest rate this year could come as soon as July.

Yields were slightly lower on the session after the U.S. bombed Iran's nuclear sites over the weekend, raising geopolitical tensions, and extended their fall after Bowman's comments.

Bowman, recently tapped by President Donald Trump to be the central bank's top bank overseer, said Monday she is growing more concerned with risks to the job market than with the potential inflationary effects of tariffs.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell after Bowman's comments and were last down 6.1 basis points to 4.314%. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, fell 6.4 basis points to 3.844%.

Markets are expecting the first interest rate cuts to come later in the year, potentially beginning in September. The CME's FedWatch tool still showed mid-morning that markets saw a 77% chance of rates being held steady at the July meeting. (Reporting by Tatiana Bautzer, editing by Deepa Babington)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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