GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks choppy as Fed leans hawkish, oil climbs on Mideast uncertainty

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 06/18/25 03:32 PM EDT

(Updates prices to midafternoon New York time)

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Equities volatile after Fed signals slower easing

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Oil rises on sixth day of Israel-Iran tension

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Trump says "Nobody knows what I am going to do"

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U.S. Treasury yields fall, then rise

By Isla Binnie

NEW YORK, June 18 (Reuters) - Wall Street stock trading was volatile after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday, while oil prices edged higher again as investors analyzed the chances that the Israel-Iran air war might lead to supply disruption or any intervention from Washington. The U.S. central bank forecast a slightly slower pace of cutting interest rates, predicting that President Donald Trump's tariffs would stoke inflation.

"The Fed is looking at slower economic growth and the vote was unanimous and the fact that rates remain unchanged is no surprise," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital.

"They do state that the economy is slowed, but still on solid footing."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was last up 0.08%, the S&P 500 0.09% higher and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.19%, having traded briefly higher than those levels after the Fed statement.

Geopolitics remained in focus as Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rejected Trump's demand for unconditional surrender, and Trump said his patience had run out but did not indicate his next step.

Trump declined to say whether he had made any decision on whether to join Israel's bombing campaign against archenemy Iran. "Nobody knows what I'm going to do," he said.

U.S. crude oil futures settled 0.4% higher at $75.14 per barrel on the sixth day of the Middle East conflict. Brent rose to $76.74 per barrel, up 0.43% on the day.

U.S. TREASURY YIELDS FALL, THEN RISE

U.S. Treasury yields fell after the Fed statement before turning slightly higher on the day.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 0.6 basis point to 4.397%, from 4.391% late on Tuesday.

Treasury yields had slid earlier in the week as investors calculated that geopolitical risks abroad were greater than the chances the U.S. debt pile would become unmanageable.

Economic data from earlier in the week had made for a challenging backdrop for the Fed decision. U.S. retail sales fell by a larger-than-expected 0.9% in May, data showed on Tuesday, the biggest drop in four months, while labor market indicators showed weakness.

The two-year yield, which is more sensitive to changes in expectations for Fed interest rates, fell 0.7 basis point to 3.944%, from 3.95% late on Tuesday.

(Reporting by Isla Binnie in New York and Naomi Rovnick in London, additional reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Kim Coghill, Gareth Jones, Joe Bavier and Matthew Lewis)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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