Japan's 10-year bond yield falls as BOJ rate-hike bets ease

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 04/14/25 02:39 AM EDT

TOKYO, April 14 (Reuters) - Japan's 10-year government bond yield fell on Monday, as investors continued to unwind positions they had made for the Bank of Japan's early interest rate hikes.

The 10-year JGB yield fell 1.5 basis points (bps) to 1.33%.

"The market is doing the opposite of what they had been doing," said Keisuke Tsuruta, a senior fixed income strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.

Investors are now buying back bonds with mid-to-long term maturities, which they had shorted as they braced for the BOJ's interest rate hikes.

The five-year yield fell 2.5 bps to 0.81% and the two-year JGB yield fell 2 bps to 0.585%.

Earlier in the day, the BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said global and domestic economic uncertainty has increased sharply due to U.S. tariff policy.

Ueda reiterated his previous view, but the comments provided relief to the market, which had expected the BOJ would raise the policy rate sooner, strategists said.

The bets that the BOJ could raise its policy rate beyond 1% sometime next year amid rising domestic prices and wages sent yields across some tenors to 17-year highs at the end of last month.

These expectations retreated after U.S. President Donald Trump announced hefty reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries on April 2.

"U.S. tariffs will likely put downward pressure on global and Japanese economies through various channels," Ueda said.

The 20-year JGB yield fell 0.5 bp to 2.360%.

The 30-year JGBs and the 40-year JGBs have not been priced, as of 0604 GMT.

(Reporting by Junko Fujita; Editing by Rashmi Aich)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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