TREASURIES-Yields rise as tariff fears overwhelm improving inflation report

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 03/12/25 09:48 AM EDT

(Updated in New York morning time)

By Karen Brettell

March 12 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose on Wednesday as concerns over the potentially inflationary impact of a global trade war offset optimism over slowing consumer price gains, after data showed that prices rose less than expected in February.

Some underlying components of the data that feed through to personal consumption expenditures, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, were also higher than expected.

"This is the last reading not impacted by tariff distortions so to some extent the market's a little bit hesitant to over react to a better print," said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities in New York. Also, "the transmission to PCE is actually a little bit stronger."

The consumer price index rose 0.2% last month after accelerating 0.5% in January. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI climbed 0.2% in February after gaining 0.4% in January.

U.S. President Donald Trump's increased tariffs on all U.S. steel and aluminum imports took effect on Wednesday, stepping up a campaign to reorder global trade in favor of the U.S. and drawing swift retaliation from Canada and Europe.

Meanwhile a bond market rally that last week sent benchmark 10-year yields to their lowest levels since October is also seen as potentially played out for the near-term.

"The market's already rallied quite a bit over the last couple of weeks. There is a little bit of hesitation about pushing rates too far lower in advance of a lot of the uncertainty that's coming," Goldberg said.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was last up 3.4 basis points on the day at 4.322%. The 2-year note yield rose 5 basis points to 3.991%.

The yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes flattened by around one basis point to 32 basis points.

(Reporting by Karen Brettell; Editing by Paul Simao)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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