GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks pare losses with Ukraine optimism countering tariff fears

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 03/11/25 03:40 PM EDT

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US stocks regain some ground on prospects of Ukraine ceasefire

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Treasury yields turn around as does gold

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Oil prices settle slightly higher

(Updates prices to late US afternoon trade, adds oil settlement)

By Sin?ad Carew and Alun John

NEW YORK/LONDON, March 11 (Reuters) - Equities regained some lost ground on Tuesday as investors took encouragement from Ukraine's agreement to a ceasefire with Russia, even as they feared the economic impact of U.S. tariffs.

Ukraine agreed to an immediate 30-day ceasefire during talks with U.S. officials in Saudi Arabia and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said this left the ball in Russia's court to respond.

This was after President Donald Trump added to economic jitters by saying he told his commerce secretary to add an additional 25% tariff on all U.S. steel and aluminum imports from Canada, bringing the total tariff on those products to 50%. "Uncertainty and volatility continue in this market," said Mona Mahajan, head of investment strategy at Edward Jones, pointing to Trump's latest tariff announcement and resulting concerns about the economy.

"Economic growth had started to slow even before the tariff uncertainty in the U.S. That is not uncommon in the first quarter of the year, but what is uncommon is adding to that with uncertainty around policy."

On Monday, the S&P 500 suffered its biggest one-day drop this year after Trump, in a weekend Fox News interview, declined to rule out a recession resulting from his trade policies, and talked about a "period of transition."

Adding to concerns about tariffs, Tuesday's data showed U.S. small-business confidence dropped for a third straight month in February, wiping away much of the gains notched after Trump's November election victory.

Along with the confidence slump, Phil Blancato, chief market strategist at Osaic Wealth in New York, pointed to guidance from Delta Airlines and retailer Kohl's that suggested a softening of consumer spending ahead.

Investors were also anxiously awaiting the latest information on inflation conditions from the U.S. consumer price index reading for February, due on Wednesday.

A high reading would add to last month's hotter-than-expected data, which included the biggest monthly price gain since August 2023.

At 2:52 p.m. EDT (1852 GMT) the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 188.56 points, or 0.45%, to 41,716.72.

After spending most of the morning lower and going 10% below its latest record-high close, the S&P 500 was up 11.45 points, or 0.2%, at 5,624.63 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 182.80 points, or 1.05%, to 17,645.07.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was down 0.85 points, or 0.1% at 831.88, after falling as low as 822.44, which was more than 7% below its most recent record close on February 19.

Earlier, the pan-European STOXX 600 index had closed down 1.7%.

After falling sharply on Monday, U.S. Treasury yields also steadied, pulling away from five-month lows hit earlier in the session.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 7.8 basis points to 4.291%, from 4.213% late on Monday.

The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, rose 4.5 basis points to 3.941%.

In currencies, the U.S. dollar rose to a one-week high against the Canadian dollar while the euro hit a new four-month peak against the greenback on hopes for a German defence spending deal.

The euro was up 0.9% at $1.0928 but against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.38% to 147.82.

The Canadian dollar strengthened 0.26% versus the greenback to C$1.44 per dollar.

Oil prices rose, after falling sharply on Monday, although gains were capped as concerns mounted over a U.S. slowdown and the impact of tariffs on global economic growth.

U.S. crude settled up 0.33% at $66.25 a barrel and Brent settled at $69.56 per barrel, up 0.4%.

Gold prices gained after selling off in the prior day's session, rising 1.01% to $2,918.63 an ounce. U.S. gold futures rose 0.85% to $2,915.50 an ounce. (Reporting by Sin?ad Carew in New York, Alun John in London, Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; and Alun John in London, additional reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe; Editing by Alexandra Hudson, Kirsten Donovan and Rod Nickel)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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